30 Wark Avenue · Pagewood NSW 2035

Pagewood suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Pagewood suburb ← Back to board
← swipe · 10 photos

Currently listed — $4,100,000

4 bed · 3 bath · 2 car · House · 465 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.22M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.22M–$3.33M
around $2.77M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.33M
$3.6M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 24 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±20% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 7 Feb 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 20 Aug 2026 asking $4.1M
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 201 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
33 Macarthur Av4 bd · 2 ba$2.5MApr 2024

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 54% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 52 — around sydney average · 27 min walk to Kingsford Light Rail · ~28 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Pagewood — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

201 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Pagewood · postcode 2035

$1550–$2350/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2035 actually transact for (middle half of 20 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $2000/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $770 → $1350/wk · +10% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2035, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

465 m² · up to ~256 m² of floor space under the current FSR (a guide — setbacks and height also apply)

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Bayside Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 9.51% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.56% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Pagewood, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
306/124 Banks Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$1,430,0003Meriton

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 4, asking within 20% of this one, in Pagewood or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
26 Oct 1991 $374,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.