306/2 Chapel Street · Rockdale NSW 2216

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Rockdale suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $635,000 ▼ Reduced 1.6% · $10k · 5 days ago

1 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

Asking price cut 1.6% ($10k, from $645,000 to $635,000) 5 days ago. The vendor has already moved once: negotiate below the NEW asking, not at it.

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$450k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$450k–$636k
around $523k mid
STRETCH CAP
$636k
$674k on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 51 comparable auction sales (3 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±18% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 14 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
  • 18 Aug 2026 asking $645k
  • 21 Aug 2026 price cut $10k — to $635k

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 50 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Rockdale · ~16 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 10 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Local rents — postcode 2216 units, new tenancies

$720/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2216 (2026Q2, 257 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 1-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Rockdale units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q2 $980k (3) · 2024Q4 $830k (6) · 2025Q1 $790k (3) · 2025Q2 $888k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 1, asking within 20% of this one, in Rockdale or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.