The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 132 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 31 — below sydney average · 17 min walk to Neutral Bay Wharf · ~12 min ferry to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Local rents — postcode 2089 units, new tenancies
$800/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2089 (2026Q2, 193 bonds lodged).
The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 3-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Neutral Bay units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ -3.3%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 16 quarters (35 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 July 2026 | Sold prior | $2,350,000 | Aurora Property Lower North Shore |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Neutral Bay, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/120 Kurraba Road | 12 Nov 2025 | $1,440,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Planning & zoning — MU1 Mixed Use
Shops/offices below, apartments above. Walkable and lively, but denser and busier.
Zone MU1 (Mixed Use) under the NORTH SYDNEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~63 m · 27 Bydown Street Neutral Bay 2089 | Demolition, Residential Flat Building, Erection Of A New Structure · 25 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $28.29M | 2025-09-10 |
| ~84 m · 6 32 May Lane Neutral Bay 2089 | Shop Top Housing, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Change Of Use Of Land Or A Building Or The Classification Of A Building Under The Building Code Of Australia · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $308k | 2025-09-25 |
| ~85 m · 54-64 Barry Street, Neutral Bay | Residential Flat Building · 45 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $51.98M | 2026-01-16 |
| ~138 m · 132 Wycombe Road Neutral Bay 2089 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $600k | 2021-05-11 |
| ~139 m · 156 Military Road Neutral Bay 2089 | Residential Flat Building, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure | Determined | not on record | $60k | 2025-08-08 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP13050 registered 1978 — the building is at least 48 years old · 33 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
School catchments
Neutral Bay PS (primary) · Mosman HS (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1155 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.