33 Tantallon Av · Arncliffe NSW 2205

Arncliffe suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Arncliffe suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed

3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House · 499 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.81M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.81M–$2.3M
around $2.05M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.3M
$2.4M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 92 comparable auction sales (13 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 17 June 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 18 July 2026 auction: Withdrawn (Stone Real Estate Rockdale)
  • 28 Aug 2026 on market 71 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
95 Wollongong Rd3 bd · 2 ba$1.52MFeb 2025

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise high · crime index: 40 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Arncliffe · ~14 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 10 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Arncliffe — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

71 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Arncliffe · postcode 2205

$795–$1008/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2205 actually transact for (middle half of 56 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $895/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $650 → $930/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2205, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

499 m² · up to ~349 m² of floor space under the current FSR (a guide — setbacks and height also apply)

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Bayside Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 9.51% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.56% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
18 July 2026WithdrawnwithheldStone Real Estate Rockdale

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.