34 Frenchmans Rd · Randwick NSW 2031

Randwick suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

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Currently listed — $3,150,000

3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.77M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.77M–$3.74M
around $3.27M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.74M
$4.13M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 75 comparable auction sales (6 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 14 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
  • 22 Aug 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Centennial Park)
  • 25 Aug 2026 asking $3.15M

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
4/2A Frenchmans Rd3 bd · 2 ba$2.3MSept 2025
24 Frenchmans Rd3 bd · 1 ba$2.33MJune 2025
2/183 Clovelly Rd3 bd · 1 ba$2.35MJune 2025
1/89 Dangar St3 bd · 2 ba$2.52MJune 2025

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 52% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 41 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Randwick Light Rail · ~25 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Randwick — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Development potential — how Randwick City Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 3.23% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.36% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
22 Aug 2026Passed inwithheldRay White Centennial Park

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Randwick, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
1/107 Alison Road6 Nov 2025$1,135,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Randwick or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
22 Mar 2024 $3,320,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.