35 Smith St · Manly NSW 2095

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Withdrawn from sale (15 Aug 2026)

3 bed · 2 bath · 0 car · House

The campaign was withdrawn before a sale was published.

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$3.88M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$3.88M–$5.24M
around $4.57M mid
STRETCH CAP
$5.24M
$5.48M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 42 comparable auction sales (6 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
71 Wood St3 bd · 2 ba$8.55MSept 2025
24 Golf Pde3 bd · 3 ba$5.68MFeb 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 68 — above sydney average · 6 min walk to Manly Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Manly — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Manly · postcode 2095

$1358–$2000/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2095 actually transact for (middle half of 30 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1725/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $1150 → $1350/wk · -2% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2095, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Northern Beaches Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.88% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 2.59% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
15 Aug 2026WithdrawnwithheldStone Real Estate Dee Why
25 July 2026PostponedwithheldStone Real Estate Dee Why
11 July 2026PostponedwithheldStone Real Estate Dee Why

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
2/2a Kangaroo Street17 July 2026$1,500,0002Cunninghams
32/20 Bonner Avenue29 June 2026$5,250,0003Cunninghams
1/15a Eustace Street26 June 2026$1,270,0002Cunninghams
3/20 Birkley Road6 Feb 2026$2,550,0003Cunninghams
3/15A Eustace Street5 Feb 2026$1,350,0002Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.