The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 184 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±21% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 Railway Pde | 5 bd · 3 ba | $2.01M | Sept 2025 |
| 1 York St | 5 bd · 3 ba | $2M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 62 — above sydney average · trains ~every 5 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Condell Park — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Condell Park · postcode 2200
$1055–$1475/wk is what 5-bed houses in 2200 actually transact for (middle half of 14 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1300/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $550 → $780/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2200, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Sold | withheld | Aria Realty Co. |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Postponed | withheld | Aria Realty Co. |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This address | Secondary Dwelling · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $100k | 2020-05-14 |
| ~66 m · 28 Norman Street Condell Park 2200 | Dwelling, Pools / Decks / Fencing, Demolition · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $496k | 2020-09-07 |
| ~85 m · 27 Cragg Street Condell Park 2200 | Subdivision Of Land | Determined | Refused | — | 2021-05-12 |
| ~130 m · 58 Taylor Street Condell Park 2200 | Secondary Dwelling, Demolition, Subdivision Of Land | Operational consent issued | not on record | $197k | 2021-01-28 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
School catchments
Condell Park PS (primary) · Condell Park HS (secondary)
3 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~974 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Condell Park — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.