The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 49 comparable auction sales (6 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/126 Edgecliff Rd | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.16M | July 2025 |
| 3/4 Wellington St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.37M | Feb 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 32 — below sydney average · 16 min walk to Edgecliff · ~6 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Woollahra — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Woollahra · postcode 2025
$900–$1150/wk is what 2-bed units in 2025 actually transact for (middle half of 42 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1062/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $700 → $995/wk · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2025, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Woollahra units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q2 $1314k (6) · 2024Q3 $1602k (4) · 2025Q1 $1733k (4) · 2025Q2 $3135k (3)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 July 2026 | Sold prior | withheld | Raine & Horne Double Bay |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2021 | $1,108,000 | — |
| 27 June 2026 | $1,300,000 | +17.3% over 5.3 yrs |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — R2 Low Density Residential
Houses and dual occupancies. A protected low-rise street — little chance of towers next door.
Heritage-listed — 2 Norfolk Island Pines, and grounds associated with Brougham. This building is individually heritage-listed by council. External changes need heritage approval and demolition is off the table — protective, but it limits what you can do.
Height limit 9.5m (≈ 3 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Strata plan SP61424 · scheme parcel ~4,673 m² — A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone R2 (Low Density Residential) under the WOOLLAHRA LEP · heritage from the NSW Heritage Map layer, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~105 m · 27 Nelson Street Woollahra 2025 | Pools / Decks / Fencing, Demolition, Alterations And Additions To Residential Development | Determined | Approved | $680k | 2020-08-12 |
| ~120 m · 194-214 Oxford Street, Bondi Junction | Demolition, Shop Top Housing, Mixed Use Development · 73 new dwellings | Deferred Commencement | not on record | $38.25M | 2021-09-30 |
| ~120 m · 194-214 Oxford Street, Bondi Junction | Shop Top Housing, Erection Of A New Structure · 70 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $12.02M | 2023-11-29 |
| ~122 m · 7-9 Ocean Street, Woollahra 2025 | Place Of Public Worship | Determined | Approved | $2.31M | 2020-08-06 |
| ~139 m · 2 Waimea Avenue Woollahra 2025 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $8k | 2021-05-26 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Active state-pipeline project within 150m: 231 - 239 Oxford Street, Bondi Junction (120m — pipeline record)
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
This property sits within 150m of an active state-pipeline project. Adjacent construction — especially deep excavation — is a documented damage pathway for existing buildings (Mascot Towers). Get an independent structural and strata inspection, and ask the strata manager about the neighbouring works, before you commit.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Woollahra — recent local signals
2025-10-14 — Petrol station invest — 39 VERNON STREET WOOLLAHRA 2025 ($108k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-577331, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Woollahra PS (primary) · Randwick HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1134 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.