4 Mcgowen Av · Malabar NSW 2036

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Sold at auction (Sold prior, 29 Aug 2026)

3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · House · 417 m² land

This home was still being advertised when we last swept — the published auction result above is the stronger evidence, so we show it sold.

View the original listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.23M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.23M–$3.83M
around $3M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.83M
$5.05M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 23 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±27% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 28 July 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 19 Aug 2026 asking $2.6M
  • 20 Aug 2026 price raised $55k — to $2.65M
  • 29 Aug 2026 auction: Sold prior (Sydney Sotheby's International Realty)
  • 31 Aug 2026 on market 33 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
22 Zions Av3 bd · 1 ba$3.15MSept 2024

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise low · crime index: 59 — around sydney average

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Malabar — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

33 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Malabar · postcode 2036

$972–$1500/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2036 actually transact for (middle half of 20 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1300/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $910 → $1500/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2036, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

417 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Randwick City Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 3.23% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.36% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
29 Aug 2026Sold priorwithheldSydney Sotheby's International Realty

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
20 Dec 1991 $225,000
19 Feb 1992 $225,000
23 July 2023 $2,560,000 +1037.8% over 31.4 yrs

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.