The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 215 comparable auction sales (16 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 Priam St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.43M | Sept 2025 |
| 16 Gough Av | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.25M | Sept 2025 |
| 2 Brown St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.4M | Sept 2025 |
| 77 Priam St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.41M | June 2025 |
| 11 Ian Cr | 3 bd · 3 ba | $1.36M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 49 — around sydney average · trains ~every 15 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Chester Hill — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Chester Hill · postcode 2162
$700–$840/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2162 actually transact for (middle half of 26 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $730/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $480 → $800/wk · 0% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2162, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Development potential — how Canterbury-Bankstown Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 11.6% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 11.19% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 July 2026 | Sold | $1,280,000 | Ray White Parramatta/Oatlands/Northmead |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Chester Hill, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/89b Chester Hill Road | by 16 Aug 2026 | $980,000 | 4 | Laing+Simmons |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Planning & zoning — R2 Low Density Residential
Houses and dual occupancies. A protected low-rise street — little chance of towers next door.
Registered lots in Chester Hill run 480–650 m² (middle 80% of 41 registered parcels). This one is 658 m² — above that range.
Whether a block this size can be subdivided or redeveloped is a separate question: minimum lot size, setbacks and the council's DCP controls decide it, and this page doesn't check them. One point per registered parcel, so a tower's parent lot counts once — not once per unit. Confirm the parcel and its controls with the council before you inspect.
Zone R2 (Low Density Residential) under the CANTERBURY-BANKSTOWN LEP, as recorded against this property in the NSW Valuer General's valuation record — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Canterbury-Bankstown Council has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 8.76% (6.52–11.67%) | 3.3× (NSW 2.63%) | 41 refused of 468 · 6 approved with conditions |
| Off-street parking | 11.19% (7.01–17.4%) | 4.3× (NSW 2.58%) | 16 refused of 143 · 3 approved with conditions |
| Pool, deck or fence | 9.42% (7.04–12.48%) | 5.4× (NSW 1.73%) | 42 refused of 446 · 4 approved with conditions |
| Granny flat | 10.76% (7.94–14.43%) | 2.4× (NSW 4.45%) | 38 refused of 353 · 13 approved with conditions |
| Knock down & rebuild | 9.86% (4.86–18.98%) | 0.9× (NSW 11.55%) | 7 refused of 71 · 2 approved with conditions |
Across all application types Canterbury-Bankstown Council refused 11.6% (10.37–12.95%) of the 2,380 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~60 m · 84 Mcclelland Street Chester Hill 2162 | Dwelling · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $354k | 2022-01-28 |
| ~128 m · 72 Marks Lane Chester Hill 2162 | Secondary Dwelling, Demolition · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $150k | 2020-10-12 |
| ~145 m · 54 Chester Hill Road Chester Hill 2162 | Educational Establishment , Change Of Use Of Land Or A Building Or The Classification Of A Building Under The Building Code Of Australia, Infrastructure | Determined | not on record | $2.82M | 2024-10-23 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
What's changing in Chester Hill — recent local signals
2026-06-05 — Childcare departure — 30 WELLINGTON ROAD CHESTER HILL 2162 ($28555k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-644873, OnlineDA))
2026-05-14 — Childcare invest — 23 CURTIS ROAD CHESTER HILL 2162 ($244k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-637716, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Chester Hill PS (primary) · Sefton HS (secondary)
4 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~941 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.