









Currently listed
4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House · 426 m² land
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 29 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±20% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 25 July 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Eastern Beaches)
- 14 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Shackel Av | 4 bd · 3 ba | $8.25M | Aug 2024 |
| 72 St Thomas St | 4 bd · 3 ba | $3.64M | Aug 2024 |
| 8 Clifton Rd | 4 bd · 3 ba | $4.95M | July 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 41 — around sydney average · 26 min walk to Randwick Light Rail · ~25 min light rail to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Clovelly — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Clovelly · postcode 2031
$2038–$2494/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2031 actually transact for (middle half of 14 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $2275/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $1100 → $1500/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2031, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
426 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Development potential — how Randwick City Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 3.23% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.36% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2026 | Passed in | withheld | Ray White Eastern Beaches |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at
Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.
Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.
Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.
Planning & zoning — R3 Medium Density Residential
Townhouses, villas and low-rise units permitted — expect gradual medium-density infill.
Registered lots in Clovelly run 230–480 m² (middle 80% of 19 registered parcels). This one is 422 m² — inside that range.
Whether a block this size can be subdivided or redeveloped is a separate question: minimum lot size, setbacks and the council's DCP controls decide it, and this page doesn't check them. One point per registered parcel, so a tower's parent lot counts once — not once per unit. Confirm the parcel and its controls with the council before you inspect.
Zone R3 (Medium Density Residential) under the RANDWICK LEP, as recorded against this property in the NSW Valuer General's valuation record — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Randwick City Council has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 2.33% (1.13–4.74%) | 0.9× (NSW 2.63%) | 7 refused of 300 |
| Off-street parking | 5.36% (1.84–14.61%) | 2.1× (NSW 2.58%) | 3 refused of 56 |
| Pool, deck or fence | 3.65% (1.57–8.26%) | 2.1× (NSW 1.73%) | 5 refused of 137 |
| Granny flat | too few to rate | — (NSW 4.45%) | 1 refused of 15 |
| Knock down & rebuild | 0% (0–6.02%) | — (NSW 11.55%) | 0 refused of 60 · 2 approved with conditions |
Across all application types Randwick City Council refused 3.23% (2.08–4.99%) of the 588 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~66 m · 24 Cliffbrook Parade Clovelly 2031 | Residential Flat Building, Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 4 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $1.99M | 2021-08-19 |
| ~72 m · 39 Melrose Parade Clovelly 2031 | Other | Determined | Approved | — | 2021-07-20 |
| ~84 m · 41 Melrose Parade Clovelly 2031 | Pools / Decks / Fencing, Demolition, Multi-Dwelling Housing · 3 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $3.44M | 2022-12-28 |
| ~95 m · 364-366 Clovelly Road Clovelly 2031 | Dual Occupancy, Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 2 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $60k | 2021-01-15 |
| ~99 m · 32 Cliffbrook Parade Clovelly 2031 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $31k | 2025-09-18 |
| ~115 m · 36 Cliffbrook Parade Clovelly 2031 | Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Residential Accommodation | Under Assessment | not on record | $3.98M | 2026-01-15 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
School catchments
Clovelly PS (primary) · Randwick HS (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1130 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 100 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 250 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.