41 Alexander St · Manly NSW 2095

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Currently listed

3 bed · 2 bath · House · 445 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$3.74M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$3.74M–$5.05M
around $4.41M mid
STRETCH CAP
$5.05M
$5.28M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 42 comparable auction sales (6 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 1 Aug 2026 auction: Postponed (McGrath Manly)
  • 28 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
71 Wood St3 bd · 2 ba$8.55MSept 2025
24 Golf Pde3 bd · 3 ba$5.68MFeb 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 68 — above sydney average · 6 min walk to Manly Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Manly — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

0 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Manly · postcode 2095

$1358–$2000/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2095 actually transact for (middle half of 30 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1725/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $1150 → $1350/wk · -2% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2095, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

445 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Northern Beaches Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.88% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 2.59% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
1 Aug 2026PostponedwithheldMcGrath Manly

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
2/2a Kangaroo Street17 July 2026$1,500,0002Cunninghams
32/20 Bonner Avenue29 June 2026$5,250,0003Cunninghams
1/15a Eustace Street26 June 2026$1,270,0002Cunninghams
3/20 Birkley Road6 Feb 2026$2,550,0003Cunninghams
3/15A Eustace Street5 Feb 2026$1,350,0002Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
30 Oct 1991 $359,000
9 July 1994 $438,500 +22.1% over 2.7 yrs

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.