43 Mcdonald St · Freshwater NSW 2096

Freshwater suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Freshwater suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $3,000,000

2 bed · 1 bath · 2 car · House · 805 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.27M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.27M–$3.68M
around $2.96M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.68M
$3.95M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 37 comparable auction sales (4 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±24% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 19 May 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 20 June 2026 auction: Postponed (Whitehouse Real Estate)
  • 27 June 2026 auction: Postponed (Whitehouse Real Estate)
  • 4 July 2026 auction: Postponed (Whitehouse Real Estate)
  • 18 July 2026 auction: Withdrawn (Whitehouse Real Estate)
  • 19 Aug 2026 asking $3M
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 100 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
23 Mcdonald St2 bd · 1 ba$3.83MApr 2025
89 Lawrence St2 bd · 1 ba$2.23MMar 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 22 — below sydney average · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Freshwater — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

100 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

805 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Northern Beaches Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.88% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 2.59% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
18 July 2026WithdrawnwithheldWhitehouse Real Estate
4 July 2026PostponedwithheldWhitehouse Real Estate
27 June 2026PostponedwithheldWhitehouse Real Estate
20 June 2026PostponedwithheldWhitehouse Real Estate

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Freshwater, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
4/109 Wyuna Avenue25 Aug 2026$1,365,0002Cunninghams
3/2 Carlton Street15 Aug 2026$1,356,0002Cunninghams
15/111-113 Harbord Road29 July 2026$1,200,0002Cunninghams
11/40 Waine Street29 July 2026$1,090,0002Cunninghams
22 Wilson Street25 July 2026$3,180,0003Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 4 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Freshwater or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.