5/140-148 Beattie St · Balmain NSW 2041

Balmain suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Balmain suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.87M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.87M–$4.93M
around $3.86M mid
STRETCH CAP
$4.93M
$5.34M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 174 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±27% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
46 Glassop St4 bd · 2 ba$4MMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 42 — around sydney average · 16 min walk to Balmain East Wharf · ~12 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Balmain — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Balmain · postcode 2041

$790/week median new-tenancy rent for units in 2041 (2026Q2, 89 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $628 → $790/wk · +1% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2041, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Balmain units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q3 $1375k (5) · 2024Q4 $1525k (3) · 2025Q1 $1650k (6) · 2025Q2 $1030k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
4 July 2026Passed in$2,615,000CobdenHayson Balmain

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Balmain, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
20/10 Gow Street19 Aug 2026$1,550,0003Harris Partners
15 Bradford Street1 July 2026$2,125,0003Harris Partners
94 Glassop Street9 Oct 2025$3,560,0004Harris Partners
74 Glassop Street15 Aug 2025$3,500,0004Harris Partners
130 Beattie Street20 May 2025$2,400,0003Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.