5/140-148 Beattie St · Balmain NSW 2041

Balmain suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Balmain suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.87M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.87M–$4.93M
around $3.86M mid
STRETCH CAP
$4.93M
$5.34M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 174 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±27% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
46 Glassop St4 bd · 2 ba$4MMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 42 — around sydney average · 16 min walk to Balmain East Wharf · ~12 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Balmain — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Local rents — postcode 2041 units, new tenancies

$790/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2041 (2026Q2, 89 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 4-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Balmain units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q3 $1375k (5) · 2024Q4 $1525k (3) · 2025Q1 $1650k (6) · 2025Q2 $1030k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
4 July 2026Passed in$2,615,000CobdenHayson Balmain

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Balmain, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
20/10 Gow Street19 Aug 2026$1,550,0003Harris Partners
15 Bradford Street1 July 2026$2,125,0003Harris Partners
94 Glassop Street9 Oct 2025$3,560,0004Harris Partners
74 Glassop Street15 Aug 2025$3,500,0004Harris Partners
130 Beattie Street20 May 2025$2,400,0003Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.