Recorded sales at this address
1 recorded sale
A previous sale is a useful reference, but its date and any changes to the home matter. It is not today's value.
Valuation NSW · dates and prices in Sale history belowYour buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
327 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-03Planning activity nearby
6 recorded applications at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the areaWhat deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
- We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
- What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
- Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.86M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.86M–$2.32M
around $2.07M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.32M
$2.68M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: High — based on 327 comparable auction sales (52 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · priced from this property's own records: previous sale · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: previous sale
- Comparable support: 327 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 52 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/15 Stuart St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $2.05M | Sept 2025 |
| 10/43-45 East Esp | 2 bd · 2 ba | $2.3M | Sept 2025 |
| 201/95 West Esp | 2 bd · 2 ba | $2M | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 68 — above sydney average · 6 min walk to Manly Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 5 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Manly — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
- 6 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
- Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
- Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Manly · postcode 2095
$995–$1350/wk is what 2-bed units in 2095 actually transact for (middle half of 169 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1150/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $760 → $1050/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2095, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Manly units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ -4.9%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (138 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Sold prior | $1,425,000 | — |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/2a Kangaroo Street | 17 July 2026 | $1,500,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 32/20 Bonner Avenue | 29 June 2026 | $5,250,000 | 3 | Cunninghams |
| 1/15a Eustace Street | 26 June 2026 | $1,270,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 1/30 Eurobin Avenue | 26 May 2026 | $965,000 | 1 | Cunninghams |
| 3/20 Birkley Road | 6 Feb 2026 | $2,550,000 | 3 | Cunninghams |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | $1,425,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — E1 Local Centre
A retail/commercial hub — shops and services at your door, but busier and noisier.
Zone E1 (Local Centre) under the NORTHERN BEACHES LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~38 m · 9 Eustace Street Manly 2095 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 8 new dwellings | Determined | Approved | $370k | 2021-12-09 |
| ~38 m · 9 Eustace Street Manly 2095 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 8 new dwellings | Determined | Approved | $188k | 2022-11-07 |
| ~38 m · 9 Eustace Street Manly 2095 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development | Determined | not on record | $507k | 2023-04-14 |
| ~49 m · 5 Eustace Street Manly 2095 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Change Of Use Of Land Or A Building Or The Classification Of A Building Under The Building Code Of Australia | Under Assessment | not on record | $996k | 2026-07-09 |
| ~58 m · 1 West Promenade Manly 2095 | Alterations And Additions To Commercial Development | Determined | Refused | $65k | 2021-02-23 |
| ~73 m · 4 Gilbert Street Manly 2095 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure | Determined | not on record | $277k | 2025-07-23 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Manly — recent local signals
2026-08-16 — Development site — listing's own words: "redevelopment opportunity" (1-3/8 Pine Street, Manly, NSW 2095) (listing rea-151815840 (rea), first seen 2026-08-16)
2026-08-16 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (25 Malvern Avenue, Manly, NSW 2095) (listing rea-151867520 (rea), first seen 2026-08-16)
2026-08-15 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (116 Pittwater Road, Manly, NSW 2095) (listing rea-151791860 (rea), first seen 2026-08-15)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Manly Village PS (primary) · The Forest HS (secondary)
1 primary school within 2 km · ICSEA ~1158 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 100 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 250 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.