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Withdrawn from sale (12 Sept 2026)
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Apartment / Unit
The campaign was withdrawn before a sale was published.
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
35 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-15
The strata scheme
SP58883 · 6 lots
Scheme size provides context. It does not tell us the current levies, finances or condition of the building.
NSW strata register · registered 1999
Planning activity nearby
6 recorded applications at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the area
What deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.36M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.36M–$1.78M
around $1.55M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.78M
$2.13M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 35 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±14% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: building age, land value · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-15
Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: building age, land value
Comparable support: 35 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 2 of this exact configuration
When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.
Comparable auction sales
Address
Config
Sold
When
9/22 Liverpool St
2 bd · 1 ba
$1.5M
Mar 2025
1/40-42 Wilberforce Av
2 bd · 2 ba
$2.4M
Dec 2024
3/37 William St
2 bd · 1 ba
$1.03M
Nov 2024
3/3 Hamilton St
2 bd · 1 ba
$1.7M
Nov 2024
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 11 min walk to Rose Bay Wharf · ~25 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 20 min at peak
Where every number comes from
Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-15 — trained on 169,861 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
Comps: published Domain auction results for Rose Bay — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
The strata scheme: registration is recorded in 1999 and has 6 lots; ask for the strata report, planned works and levies.
6 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Rose Bay · postcode 2029
$890–$1300/wk is what 2-bed units in 2029 actually transact for (middle half of 85 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1000/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $680 → $975/wk · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2029, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Rose Bay units at auction
Not enough Rose Bay unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
Auction week
Result
Price
Agency
12 Sept 2026
Withdrawn
withheld
TRG
29 Aug 2026
Postponed
withheld
TRG
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 66 days.
62% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,545 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Planning & zoning — R2 Low Density Residential
Houses and dual occupancies. A protected low-rise street — little chance of towers next door.
Zone R2 (Low Density Residential) under the WAVERLEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
Where
Proposal
Status
Outcome
Est. cost
Lodged
~71 m · 44 Chaleyer Street Rose Bay 2029
Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Erection Of A New Structure, Driveways And Hard Stand Spaces
Additional Information Requested
not on record
$50k
2026-09-21
~127 m · 45 Liverpool Street Rose Bay 2029
Demolition, Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling
Determined
not on record
$483k
2025-11-21
~141 m · 41 Chaleyer Street Rose Bay 2029
Erection Of A New Structure, Awnings, Blinds And Canopies, Cabanas, Cubby Houses, Ferneries, Garden Sheds, Gazebos And Greenhouses
Cancelled
not on record
$88k
—
~141 m · 41 Chaleyer Street Rose Bay 2029
Shed, Erection Of A New Structure, Balcony, Deck, Patio, Terrace Or Verandah
Withdrawn
not on record
$88k
2025-12-22
~141 m · 41 Chaleyer Street Rose Bay 2029
Shed, Erection Of A New Structure, Balcony, Deck, Patio, Terrace Or Verandah
Determined
not on record
$88k
2026-02-10
~150 m · 63 Onslow Street Rose Bay 2029
Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP58883 registered 1999 — the building is at least 27 years old · 6 lots in the scheme (small scheme — levies and decisions shared among few owners).
What's changing in Rose Bay — recent local signals
2026-10-13 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (68 Chaleyer Street, Rose Bay, NSW 2029) (listing rea-152614760 (rea), first seen 2026-10-13)
2026-10-08 — DA-approved site — listing's own words: "DA Approved" (31 Dudley Road, Rose Bay, NSW 2029) (listing rea-152566816 (rea), first seen 2026-10-08)
2026-09-24 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (15 Blake Street, Rose Bay, NSW 2029) (listing rea-152368360 (rea), first seen 2026-09-24)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Rose Bay PS (primary) · Rose Bay SC (secondary)
3 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1129 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.