Currently listed — $1,450,000
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · Townhouse
◆ Found on Ray White Epping NSW's own website, and not on the major portals when we last checked. The price and details above are as that agency published them — off-portal stock most buyers never see, and a single source rather than two agreeing.
Peaceful Rear Position with large sunny backyard access to Coolibah Street Reserve
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Medium — based on 45 comparable auction sales · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 18 July 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Epping SYD)
- 26 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 2+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/42-44 Castle Street St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.41M | Sept 2025 |
| 11/1-3 Telfer Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.4M | Mar 2025 |
| 4/3 Brisbane Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.31M | Feb 2025 |
| 4/9-11 Orange Gr | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.25M | Jan 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 31 — below sydney average · 1 min walk to Castle Hill Metro · ~36 min metro to the CBD · metro ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Castle Hill — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
2 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Castle Hill · postcode 2154
$800–$1100/wk is what 3-bed units in 2154 actually transact for (middle half of 13 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $975/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $490 → $800/wk · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2154, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Castle Hill units at auction
Not enough Castle Hill unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 July 2026 | Passed in | withheld | Ray White Epping SYD |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at
Homes in Castle Hill that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.
Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.
Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 85 comparable sales in Castle Hill, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.
Planning & zoning — MU1 Mixed Use
Shops/offices below, apartments above. Walkable and lively, but denser and busier.
Height limit 46m (≈ 14 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 1.9:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 1.9:1 times the site area.
Zone MU1 (Mixed Use) under the THE HILLS SHIRE LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Active state-pipeline project within 150m: Terminus Street And 5-13 Crane Road, Castle Hill (30m — SSD-95834209) · No'S 1-56 Pennant Way, Castle Hill (30m — SSD-120193991)
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
This property sits within 150m of an active state-pipeline project. Adjacent construction — especially deep excavation — is a documented damage pathway for existing buildings (Mascot Towers). Get an independent structural and strata inspection, and ask the strata manager about the neighbouring works, before you commit.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP85885 registered 2012 — the building is at least 14 years old · 10 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
School catchments
Castle Hill PS (primary) · Castle Hill HS (secondary)
3 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1139 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.