Currently listed — $4,100,000
5 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · House · 477 m² land
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 20 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±43% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 17 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 18 Aug 2026 asking $4.1M
- 1 Sept 2026 on market 14+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Ellalong Rd | 5 bd · 3 ba | $6.04M | Aug 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 21 — below sydney average · 24 min walk to Mosman Bay Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 15 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Cremorne — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
14 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Cremorne · postcode 2090
$1475/week median new-tenancy rent for houses in 2090 (2026Q2, 15 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $990 → $1475/wk · +9% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2090, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
477 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 4 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 5, asking within 20% of this one, in Cremorne or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
What's changing in Cremorne — recent local signals
2026-07-10 — Childcare departure — 40 SPOFFORTH STREET CREMORNE 2090 (institutional-signals.json (PAN-653719, OnlineDA))
2026-03-25 — Education invest — 2 ALLISTER STREET CREMORNE 2090 ($3251k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-621656, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Middle Harbour PS (primary) · Mosman HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1155 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Cremorne — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.