558 Bourke St · Surry Hills NSW 2010

Surry Hills suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Surry Hills suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed

3 bed · 1 bath · 2 car · House · 158 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$3.09M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$3.09M–$4.64M
around $3.86M mid
STRETCH CAP
$4.64M
$4.93M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 111 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±20% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 8 Aug 2026 auction: Postponed (Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills)
  • 17 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 28 Aug 2026 on market 11+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
88 Fitzroy St3 bd · 1 ba$2.33MJune 2025
49 Mackey St3 bd · 1 ba$2.1MMay 2025
44 Nickson St3 bd · 3 ba$2.92MMay 2025
613 Bourke St3 bd · 3 ba$4.35MMay 2025
5 Wilshire St3 bd · 2 ba$2.63MMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 10 min walk to Central · trains ~every 2 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Surry Hills — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

11 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Surry Hills · postcode 2010

$1250–$1700/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2010 actually transact for (middle half of 41 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1425/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $750 → $1150/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2010, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

158 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Council of the City of Sydney treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.61% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 3.08% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
8 Aug 2026PostponedwithheldRay White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
28 Jan 2022 $2,950,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.