57 Church St · Castle Hill NSW 2154

Castle Hill suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Castle Hill suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.83M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.83M–$2.52M
around $2.17M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.52M
$2.81M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 415 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
27 First Farm Dr4 bd · 3 ba$2.57MSept 2025
5 Miretta Pl4 bd · 2 ba$2.02MSept 2025
28 Kirkwall Av4 bd · 5 ba$2.79MSept 2025
54 Carramarr Rd4 bd · 2 ba$2.48MSept 2025
21 Westminster Dr4 bd · 3 ba$3.45MJuly 2025
43 Kerrs Rd4 bd · 2 ba$2.21MJuly 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 31 — below sydney average · 1 min walk to Castle Hill Metro · ~36 min metro to the CBD · metro ~every 4 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Castle Hill — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Castle Hill · postcode 2154

$975–$1250/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2154 actually transact for (middle half of 47 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1100/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $675 → $1000/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2154, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how The Hills Shire Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.06% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 1.92% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
8 Aug 2026Passed inwithheldRay White Castle Hill
18 July 2026PostponedwithheldRay White Castle Hill

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Homes in Castle Hill that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 85 comparable sales in Castle Hill, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
27 June 1991 $200,000
12 Oct 2024 $3,040,000 +1420% over 33.3 yrs

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.