59 Cottenham Ave · Kensington NSW 2033

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Currently listed

4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House · 553 m² land

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Your buyer evidence guide

Understand the home before the offer.

The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.

The listing we observed

4 bedrooms · House

Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.

Raymond Jiang · last observed 8 Sept 2026

Recorded sales at this address

2 recorded sales

A previous sale is a useful reference, but its date and any changes to the home matter. It is not today's value.

Valuation NSW · dates and prices in Sale history below

How much price evidence fits

35 sales in the wider suburb/type pool

The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.

Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-03

Planning activity nearby

1 recorded application at or near this address

An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.

NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the area

What deserves a closer look

  • listed by the agency (portal date)

These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.

What we still cannot tell you

  • Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
  • Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection

Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.

  1. Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
  2. Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
  3. What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
  4. Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?

The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.

Is the asking price plausible?

This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.

CONSERVATIVE
$4.99M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$4.99M–$6.44M
around $5.66M mid
STRETCH CAP
$6.44M
$7.5M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 35 comparable auction sales (9 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±13% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss

How this estimate was made
  • Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
  • Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale
  • Comparable support: 35 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 9 of this exact configuration
  • When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
258 Doncaster Av4 bd · 2 ba$3.63MJuly 2025
11 Day Av4 bd · 2 ba$4.76MApr 2025
58 Balfour Rd4 bd · 2 ba$3.54MMar 2025
10 Kensington Rd4 bd · 2 ba$3.95MMar 2025
15 Darling St4 bd · 2 ba$2.8MDec 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 63 — above sydney average · 27 min walk to Kingsford Light Rail · ~28 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Kensington — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

What changed recently?

  • 1 July 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 9 Sept 2026 on market 70 days — portal listing date

What to inspect before you offer

  • Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
  • 1 development application is recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
  • Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.

These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

70 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Kensington · postcode 2033

$1500–$1998/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2033 actually transact for (middle half of 26 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1650/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $750 → $1275/wk · -6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2033, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

553 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Randwick City Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 3.23% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.36% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
11 Feb 2022 $4,050,000
6 Sept 2025 $4,325,000 +6.8% over 3.6 yrs

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.