5A Carew St · Padstow NSW 2211

Padstow suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Padstow suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.4M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.4M–$1.77M
around $1.58M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.77M
$2.05M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 23 comparable auction sales · model runs ±12% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
26A Kiama St5 bd · 4 ba$1.81MMay 2025
26A Adelaide Rd5 bd · 3 ba$1.44MMar 2025
36 Stephanie St5 bd · 3 ba$1.8MFeb 2025
15 Gwandalan Rd5 bd · 4 ba$2.1MNov 2024
21B Adelaide Rd5 bd · 3 ba$1.33MOct 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 34 — below sydney average · trains ~every 9 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Padstow — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Padstow · postcode 2211

$580/week median new-tenancy rent for units in 2211 (2026Q2, 19 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $430 → $580/wk · +10% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2211, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Padstow units at auction

Not enough Padstow unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
8 Aug 2026WithdrawnwithheldLJ Hooker Padstow
25 July 2026PostponedwithheldLJ Hooker Padstow

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,535 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.