Currently listed — $1,500,000
3 bed · 1 bath · House
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 226 comparable auction sales (13 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 28 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 28 Aug 2026 asking $1.5M
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Bruce St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.61M | Sept 2025 |
| 2 Connemarra St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.9M | Sept 2025 |
| 24A Connemarra St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.8M | June 2025 |
| 23 Broadford St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.91M | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 15 min walk to Bexley North · ~25 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 10 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Bexley — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
0 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Bexley · postcode 2207
$838–$1000/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2207 actually transact for (middle half of 32 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $910/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $630 → $950/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2207, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Bexley or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
What's changing in Bexley — recent local signals
2026-07-27 — Childcare departure — 131 QUEEN VICTORIA STREET BEXLEY 2207 ($68k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-659360, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Carlton PS (primary) · GRC Oatley SC (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1050 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Bexley — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.