The listing we observed
3 bedrooms · House
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Century 21 · last observed 14 Sept 2026Currently listed
3 bed · 3 bath · 2 car · House
◆ Found on Century 21's own website, and not on the major portals when we last checked. The price and details above are as that agency published them — off-portal stock most buyers never see, and a single source rather than two agreeing.
Immaculate Family Living in a Prime Marsden Park Location
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
50 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-03What deserves a closer look
- first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$910k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$910k–$1.2M
around $1.04M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.2M
$1.41M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 50 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±14% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value
- Comparable support: 50 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 0 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 57 — around sydney average · 38 min walk to Riverstone · ~50 min train to the CBD
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 4 Sept 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 14 Sept 2026 on market 10+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
10 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Marsden Park · postcode 2765
$690–$770/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2765 actually transact for (middle half of 65 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $750/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $520 → $850/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2765, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Marsden Park, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mayfly Avenue | by 4 Sept 2026 | $1,255,000 | 4 | Laing+Simmons |
| 85 Bolwarra Drive | by 16 Aug 2026 | $840,000 | 2 | Laing+Simmons |
| 1 Northbourne Drive | by 16 Aug 2026 | $1,220,000 | 4 | Laing+Simmons |
| 37 Floribunda Parade | by 16 Aug 2026 | $1,225,000 | 4 | Laing+Simmons |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
School catchments
Marsden Park PS (primary) · Riverstone HS (secondary)
2 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1082 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Marsden Park — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.