7/28 Nicholson Pde · Cronulla NSW 2230

Cronulla suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Cronulla suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.06M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.06M–$1.31M
around $1.19M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.31M
$1.8M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: High — based on 152 comparable auction sales (59 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
4/35-39 Judd St2 bd · 1 ba$1.28MSept 2025
15/11 Ewos Pde2 bd · 1 ba$1.44MJune 2025
11/8 Deeban Wk2 bd · 1 ba$1.23MJune 2025
8/69-71 Elouera Rd2 bd · 1 ba$1.35MJune 2025
2/31 Searl Rd2 bd · 1 ba$994kJune 2025
9/75-77 Ewos Pde2 bd · 1 ba$1.25MJune 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 35 — below sydney average · trains ~every 10 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Cronulla — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Cronulla · postcode 2230

$688–$870/wk is what 2-bed units in 2230 actually transact for (middle half of 179 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $750/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $498 → $750/wk · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2230, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Cronulla units at auction

Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 4.2%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 15 quarters (62 sales).

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
1 Aug 2026Passed inwithheldHighland Sutherland Shire and St George
18 July 2026PostponedwithheldHighland Sutherland Shire and St George

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.