7/489 Old South Head Rd · Rose Bay NSW 2029

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Rose Bay suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.54M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.54M–$2.13M
around $1.82M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.13M
$2.88M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 35 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
2/34-40 Spencer St3 bd · 2 ba$3.03MSept 2025
1/567-569 Old South Head Rd3 bd · 2 ba$1.6MNov 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 11 min walk to Rose Bay Wharf · ~25 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 20 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Rose Bay — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Rose Bay · postcode 2029

$1162–$1838/wk is what 3-bed units in 2029 actually transact for (middle half of 18 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1525/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $680 → $975/wk · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2029, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Rose Bay units at auction

Not enough Rose Bay unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
25 July 2026WithdrawnwithheldMorton Crows Nest
18 July 2026PostponedwithheldMorton Crows Nest

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.