The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: High — based on 323 comparable auction sales (106 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76/38 Cope St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $727k | Sept 2025 |
| 608/2 Burley St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.17M | July 2025 |
| 3/200 Longueville Rd | 2 bd · 1 ba | $849k | July 2025 |
| 33/4-12 Huxtable Av | 2 bd · 1 ba | $893k | July 2025 |
| 33/33-41 Stokes St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $933k | June 2025 |
| 8/73 Burns Bay Rd | 2 bd · 1 ba | $880k | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 24 min walk to Artarmon · ~12 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Lane Cove — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Lane Cove · postcode 2066
$700–$888/wk is what 2-bed units in 2066 actually transact for (middle half of 147 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $780/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $550 → $765/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2066, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Lane Cove units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q4 $908k (28) · 2025Q1 $995k (28) · 2025Q2 $915k (29) · 2025Q3 $871k (4)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sold prior | withheld | Raine & Horne Lower North Shore |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Postponed | withheld | Raine & Horne Lower North Shore |
| 25 July 2026 | Postponed | withheld | Raine & Horne Lower North Shore |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Lane Cove, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73/31-39 Mindarie Street | 13 Feb 2026 | $937,500 | 2 | Cunninghams |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Planning & zoning — R4 High Density Residential
Apartments. Expect towers and ongoing development around you.
Height limit 14.5m (≈ 4 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 1.6:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 1.6:1 times the site area.
Strata plan SP4228 — A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone R4 (High Density Residential) under the LANE COVE LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~110 m · 508 Mowbray Road West Lane Cove North 2066 | Home Business · 1 new dwelling | Withdrawn | not on record | — | 2021-02-09 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Lane Cove — recent local signals
2025-12-03 — Place of worship departure — 2-8 FINLAYSON STREET LANE COVE 2066 ($87979k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-591198, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Mowbray PS (primary) · Chatswood HS (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1147 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.