701/40 Macleay St · Elizabeth Bay NSW 2011

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Elizabeth Bay suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.03M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.03M–$1.28M
around $1.15M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.28M
$1.91M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 68 comparable auction sales (12 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
43/25 Billyard Av1 bd · 1 ba$1.5MSept 2025
16/53-55 Elizabeth Bay Rd1 bd · 1 ba$870kJuly 2025
17/2 Greenknowe Av1 bd · 1 ba$885kMay 2025
618/50-58 Macleay St1 bd · 1 ba$905kMay 2025
45/41-49 Roslyn Gdns1 bd · 1 ba$735kMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 98 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Kings Cross · ~5 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Elizabeth Bay — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Elizabeth Bay · postcode 2011

$580–$825/wk is what 1-bed units in 2011 actually transact for (middle half of 353 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $695/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $590 → $735/wk · +11% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2011, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Elizabeth Bay units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q4 $1430k (5) · 2025Q1 $1550k (9) · 2025Q2 $905k (8) · 2025Q3 $1185k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
1 Aug 2026Sold prior$1,200,000Laing+Simmons East Group

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Elizabeth Bay, around 1 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
701/40 Macleay Streetby 16 Aug 2026$1,200,0001Laing+Simmons

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
17 Dec 2024 $997,500
20 July 2026 $1,200,000 +20.3% over 1.6 yrs

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.