Currently listed — $1,950,000
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 247 comparable auction sales (6 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 26 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 26 Aug 2026 asking $1.95M
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 1+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Suburb risk flags
flood exposure 38% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
1 day since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Alexandria · postcode 2015
$1050–$1555/wk is what 3-bed units in 2015 actually transact for (middle half of 12 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1388/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $600 → $805/wk · +1% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2015, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Alexandria units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 3.1%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (105 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Alexandria, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/1a Mandible Street | 14 Aug 2025 | $682,000 | — | Harris Partners |
| 18/101 Belmont Street | 6 Dec 2022 | $1,800,000 | 4 | Harris Partners |
| 31/30-44 Garden Street | 21 Jan 2022 | $1,200,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Alexandria or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Alexandria — recent local signals
2026-07-03 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (107-109 Wyndham Street, Alexandria, NSW 2015) (listing rea-151527152 (rea), first seen 2026-07-03)
2025-12-19 — Health invest — 4/624 Botany Rd Alexandria NSW 2015 ($100k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-598310, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Gardeners Rd PS (primary) · J J Cahill MHS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1069 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Alexandria — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.