Currently listed — $2,750,000 ▼ Reduced 3.5% · $100k · 2 days ago
4 bed · 5 bath · House · 98 m² land
Asking price cut 3.5% ($100k, from $2,850,000 to $2,750,000) 2 days ago. The vendor has already moved once: negotiate below the NEW asking, not at it.
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 111 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±20% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 21 May 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 20 Aug 2026 asking $2.85M
- 25 Aug 2026 price cut $100k — to $2.75M
- 27 Aug 2026 on market 98 days — portal listing date
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Caroline St | 4 bd · 2 ba | $1.85M | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 8 min walk to Redfern · ~4 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 2 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Redfern — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
98 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
98 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 4, asking within 20% of this one, in Redfern or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 28 May 2025 | $1,299,800 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
What's changing in Redfern — recent local signals
2025-11-04 — Education new — 83-91 RENWICK STREET REDFERN 2016 ($350k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-586638, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Alexandria Park CS (primary) · Inner Sydney HS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1095 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Redfern — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.