The listing we observed
4 bedrooms · House
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Charles Touma · last observed 18 Oct 2026← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed
4 bed · 4 bath · House · 95 m² land
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
Recorded sales at this address
1 recorded sale
A previous sale is a useful reference, but its date and any changes to the home matter. It is not today's value.
Valuation NSW · dates and prices in Sale history belowHow much price evidence fits
111 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-15Planning activity nearby
3 recorded applications at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the areaWhat deserves a closer look
- listed by the agency (portal date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
- Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$2.42M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.42M–$3.3M
around $2.83M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.3M
$4.01M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 111 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-15
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value, previous sale
- Comparable support: 111 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 2 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Caroline St | 4 bd · 2 ba | $1.85M | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 8 min walk to Redfern · ~4 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 2 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-15 — trained on 169,861 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Redfern — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 13 Oct 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 19 Oct 2026 on market 6 days — portal listing date
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
- 3 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
- Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Days on market — this campaign
6 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Redfern · postcode 2016
$1400–$1800/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2016 actually transact for (middle half of 33 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1625/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $750 → $1000/wk · +11% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2016, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
95 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 28 May 2025 | $1,299,800 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — B4 Mixed Use
Shops/offices below, apartments above. Walkable and lively, but denser.
Registered lots in Redfern run 60–300 m² (middle 80% of 43 registered parcels). This one is 95 m² — inside that range.
Whether a block this size can be subdivided or redeveloped is a separate question: minimum lot size, setbacks and the council's DCP controls decide it, and this page doesn't check them. One point per registered parcel, so a tower's parent lot counts once — not once per unit. Confirm the parcel and its controls with the council before you inspect.
Zone B4 (Mixed Use), as recorded against this property in the NSW Valuer General's valuation record — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This address | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $246k | 2020-08-05 |
| ~127 m · Suite 1, 134 Abercrombie Street Chippendale 2008 | Commercial Development, Advertising And Signage, Change Of Use Of Land Or A Building Or The Classification Of A Building Under The Building Code Of Australia | Determined | not on record | $9k | 2025-11-04 |
| ~137 m · 150 Abercrombie Street Redfern 2016 | Shop Top Housing, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $1.92M | 2026-04-17 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
What's changing in Redfern — recent local signals
2026-10-13 — DA-approved site — listing's own words: "Approved DA" (216 Chalmers Street, Redfern, NSW 2016) (listing rea-152615048 (rea), first seen 2026-10-13)
2026-09-28 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (49 Great Buckingham Street, Redfern, NSW 2016) (listing rea-152461752 (rea), first seen 2026-09-28)
2026-09-21 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (62 Kepos Street, Redfern, NSW 2016) (listing rea-152310384 (rea), first seen 2026-09-21)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Darlington PS (primary) · Inner Sydney HS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1095 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.