77 Morgan St · Petersham NSW 2049

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Currently listed ▼ Reduced 5.9% · $140k · 3 cuts

4 bed · 2 bath · 0 car · House · 420 m² land

Asking price cut 5.9% ($140k, from $2,390,000 to $2,250,000) 3 weeks ago — the 3rd cut of this campaign. The vendor has already moved once: negotiate below the NEW asking, not at it.

View the live listing →

Your buyer evidence guide

Understand the home before the offer.

The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.

The listing we observed

4 bedrooms · House

Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.

Wolf Property Group - Inner West · last observed 28 Oct 2026

How much price evidence fits

124 sales in the wider suburb/type pool

The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.

Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-10-23

Planning activity nearby

5 recorded applications at or near this address

An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.

NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the area

What deserves a closer look

  • price cut $140k — to $2.25M
  • price cut $60k — to $2.39M
  • price cut $50k — to $2.45M

These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.

What we still cannot tell you

  • No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
  • Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
  • Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection

Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.

  1. Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
  2. Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
  3. What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
  4. Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?

The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.

Is the asking price plausible?

This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.22M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.22M–$3.06M
around $2.62M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3.06M
$3.66M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 124 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: block size, land value · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

How this estimate was made
  • Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-10-23
  • Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: block size, land value
  • Comparable support: 124 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 1 of this exact configuration
  • When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
6 Railway St4 bd · 3 ba$2.88MMay 2025
110 Newington Rd4 bd · 2 ba$2.8MMar 2025
22 Morgan St4 bd · 3 ba$4.04MMar 2025
84 Crystal St4 bd · 3 ba$2MMar 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 56 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Petersham · ~10 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-10-23 — trained on 172,805 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Petersham — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

What changed recently?

  • 14 Aug 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 18 Aug 2026 asking $2.5M
  • 12 Sept 2026 auction: Passed in (_Wolf Property Group)
  • 21 Sept 2026 price cut $50k — to $2.45M
  • 22 Sept 2026 price cut $60k — to $2.39M
  • 12 Oct 2026 price cut $140k — to $2.25M
  • 4 Nov 2026 on market 82 days — portal listing date

What to inspect before you offer

  • Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
  • 5 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
  • Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.

These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.

Days on market — this campaign

82 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Petersham · postcode 2049

$1230–$1525/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2049 actually transact for (middle half of 15 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1300/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $775 → $1062/wk · +2% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2049, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

420 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Inner West Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 7.24% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 10.98% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
12 Sept 2026Passed inwithheld_Wolf Property Group

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Petersham, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
24/5 Croydon Street2 Nov 2026$1,600,0003Harris Partners
550 Parramatta Road24 Apr 2025$1,650,0003Harris Partners
21/5 Croydon Street14 Feb 2025$1,699,0004Harris Partners
216/1 Phillip Street24 Dec 2023$340,000—Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 7% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 75% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 47 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.