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Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
48 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-10-23
The strata scheme
SP74562 · 12 lots
Scheme size provides context. It does not tell us the current levies, finances or condition of the building.
NSW strata register · registered 2005
What deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.03M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.03M–$1.27M
around $1.14M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.27M
$1.45M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Medium — based on 48 comparable auction sales · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-10-23
Inputs used for this home: no per-address records were available; this uses location and configuration only
Comparable support: 48 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
Address
Config
Sold
When
3/41 Railway St
3 bd · 2 ba
$1.6M
Sept 2025
1/3-5 Graham Cr
3 bd · 2 ba
$1.4M
July 2025
15/3-7 James St
3 bd · 2 ba
$1.35M
June 2025
2/9-11 Owen Av
3 bd · 2 ba
$1.73M
May 2025
7/19-23 Chelsea Av
3 bd · 2 ba
$1.37M
May 2025
2/16-18 Edward St
3 bd · 2 ba
$1.39M
May 2025
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 22 — below sydney average · metro ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-10-23 — trained on 172,805 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
Comps: published Domain auction results for Baulkham Hills — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
The strata scheme: registration is recorded in 2005 and has 12 lots; ask for the strata report, planned works and levies.
Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
$836–$1100/wk is what 3-bed units in 2153 actually transact for (middle half of 18 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $988/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $500 → $770/wk · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2153, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Baulkham Hills units at auction
Not enough Baulkham Hills unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
Auction week
Result
Price
Agency
29 Aug 2026
Withdrawn
withheld
Laing + Simmons Baulkham Hills
22 Aug 2026
Postponed
withheld
Laing + Simmons Baulkham Hills
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Baulkham Hills, around 3 beds
Address
Sold
Price
Beds
Agency
40/17 Conie Avenue
by 9 Nov 2026
$1,260,000
3
Laing+Simmons
16/19-23 Watkins Road
by 4 Nov 2026
$1,295,000
3
Laing+Simmons
8/22-26 Edward Street
by 19 Sept 2026
$1,340,000
3
Laing+Simmons
5/14-16 John Street
by 16 Aug 2026
$1,360,000
3
Laing+Simmons
12/2 Conie Avenue
by 16 Aug 2026
$980,000
3
Laing+Simmons
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 66 days.
62% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,548 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP74562 registered 2005 — the building is at least 21 years old · 12 lots in the scheme.
Jasper Rd PS (primary) · Model Farms HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1125 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Baulkham Hills — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.