









Currently listed — $4,380,000
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 58 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±20% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 18 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 22 Aug 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Double Bay)
- 25 Aug 2026 asking $4.38M
- 27 Aug 2026 on market 9+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4/8 Bellevue Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $4.2M | June 2025 |
| 1/2 Birriga Rd | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.29M | Mar 2025 |
| 3/2A Birriga Rd | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.48M | Nov 2024 |
| 3/151 Victoria Rd | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.55M | Nov 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 20 — below sydney average · 16 min walk to Double Bay Wharf · ~20 min ferry to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Bellevue Hill — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
9 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Local rents — postcode 2023 units, new tenancies
$1000/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2023 (2026Q2, 108 bonds lodged).
The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 3-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Bellevue Hill units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q1 $1395k (5) · 2024Q2 $1278k (4) · 2024Q3 $1305k (5) · 2024Q4 $1418k (8)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Passed in | withheld | Ray White Double Bay |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Bellevue Hill or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at
Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.
Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.
Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2015 | $2,300,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — R2 Low Density Residential
Houses and dual occupancies. A protected low-rise street — little chance of towers next door.
Zone R2 (Low Density Residential) under the WOOLLAHRA LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~41 m · 189 O'Sullivan Road Bellevue Hill 2023 | Dwelling · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | — | 2021-01-04 |
| ~94 m · 195 O'Sullivan Road Bellevue Hill 2023 | Residential Flat Building · 15 new dwellings | Determined | Approved | $15.36M | 2020-12-15 |
| ~116 m · 167 O'Sullivan Road Bellevue Hill 2023 | Dwelling · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $1.37M | 2021-01-05 |
| ~128 m · Woollahra Park O'Sullivan Road Bellevue Hill | Other | Determined | Approved | $90k | 2020-12-23 |
| ~147 m · 27 Boronia Road Bellevue Hill 2023 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Garage, Carport Or Carparking Space · 1 new dwelling | Under Assessment | not on record | $320k | 2026-06-26 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP72330 registered 2004 — the building is at least 22 years old · 10 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
What's changing in Bellevue Hill — recent local signals
2026-04-29 — Education invest — 5 VICTORIA ROAD BELLEVUE HILL 2023 ($4014k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-633588, OnlineDA))
2026-03-30 — Education departure — 29-53 VICTORIA ROAD BELLEVUE HILL 2023 (institutional-signals.json (PAN-622670, OnlineDA))
2026-03-23 — Education invest — 29-53 VICTORIA ROAD BELLEVUE HILL 2023 ($8182k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-620355, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Bellevue Hill PS (primary) · Rose Bay SC (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1142 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.