9/31 Church St · Birchgrove NSW 2041

Birchgrove suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Birchgrove suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$882k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$882k–$1.09M
around $988k mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.09M
$1.24M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 15 comparable auction sales (5 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 42 — around sydney average · ferries ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Birchgrove · postcode 2041

$622–$776/wk is what 1-bed units in 2041 actually transact for (middle half of 38 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $680/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $628 → $790/wk · +1% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2041, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Birchgrove units at auction

Not enough Birchgrove unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
4 July 2026Sold priorwithheldCobdenHayson Balmain

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Birchgrove, around 1 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
10/47 Wharf Road27 Feb 2026$1,161,0002Harris Partners
1/5 Numa Street27 Nov 2025$1,750,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
29 June 2026 $942,500

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.