The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 415 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 First Farm Dr | 4 bd · 3 ba | $2.57M | Sept 2025 |
| 5 Miretta Pl | 4 bd · 2 ba | $2.02M | Sept 2025 |
| 28 Kirkwall Av | 4 bd · 5 ba | $2.79M | Sept 2025 |
| 54 Carramarr Rd | 4 bd · 2 ba | $2.48M | Sept 2025 |
| 21 Westminster Dr | 4 bd · 3 ba | $3.45M | July 2025 |
| 43 Kerrs Rd | 4 bd · 2 ba | $2.21M | July 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 31 — below sydney average · 1 min walk to Castle Hill Metro · ~36 min metro to the CBD · metro ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Castle Hill — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Castle Hill · postcode 2154
$975–$1250/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2154 actually transact for (middle half of 47 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1100/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $675 → $1000/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2154, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Postponed | withheld | McGrath Castle Hill |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
School catchments
Castle Hill PS (primary) · Castle Hill HS (secondary)
3 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1139 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Castle Hill — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.