Sold (Sold, 22 Aug 2026)
4 bed · 2 bath · House
Confirmed against published auction results.
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 75 comparable auction sales (4 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Gumara St | 4 bd · 4 ba | $3.55M | June 2025 |
| 29 Ravenswood Av | 4 bd · 3 ba | $4M | May 2025 |
| 29 Ravenswood Av | 4 bd · 3 ba | $4M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
flood exposure 52% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 41 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Randwick Light Rail · ~25 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Randwick — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Development potential — how Randwick City Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 3.23% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.36% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sold | withheld | Ray White Double Bay |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Planning & zoning — R3 Medium Density Residential
Townhouses, villas and low-rise units permitted — expect gradual medium-density infill.
Heritage conservation area — North Randwick. The property sits in a heritage conservation area — the streetscape is protected, so visible/external changes are controlled. It's area-wide, not this building specifically; it tends to preserve character and value.
Zone R3 (Medium Density Residential) under the RANDWICK LEP · heritage from the NSW Heritage Map layer, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Randwick City Council has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 2.33% (1.13–4.74%) | 0.9× (NSW 2.63%) | 7 refused of 300 |
| Off-street parking | 5.36% (1.84–14.61%) | 2.1× (NSW 2.58%) | 3 refused of 56 |
| Pool, deck or fence | 3.65% (1.57–8.26%) | 2.1× (NSW 1.73%) | 5 refused of 137 |
| Granny flat | too few to rate | — (NSW 4.45%) | 1 refused of 15 |
| Knock down & rebuild | 0% (0–6.02%) | — (NSW 11.55%) | 0 refused of 60 · 2 approved with conditions |
Across all application types Randwick City Council refused 3.23% (2.08–4.99%) of the 588 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Because this address sits in a heritage listing
Heritage does not make everything harder — it depends entirely on what you want to do, and for some work it makes approval more likely. Measured across NSW by category:
- Alterations & additions — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 4.39% on heritage-affected land vs 2.27% elsewhere
- Off-street parking — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 7.37% on heritage-affected land vs 2.29% elsewhere
- Pool, deck or fence — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 4.56% on heritage-affected land vs 1.62% elsewhere
- Granny flat — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 9.63% on heritage-affected land vs 4.4% elsewhere
- Knock down & rebuild — heritage listing lowers the refusal rate: 7.1% on heritage-affected land vs 12.68% elsewhere — applications here are typically pre-advised and conservative
These are NSW-wide rates for heritage-affected applications, not Randwick City Council-specific, and they describe applications rather than this property. The zoning section above records the actual listing at this address.
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
What's changing in Randwick — recent local signals
2026-08-08 — South Coogee to Kingsford walking & cycling corridor (stage-zero.json (date = register entry, not decision — check stageNote for the real dates))
2026-08-08 — Kingsford–Coogee greenway concept (Warren and Mahoney) (stage-zero.json (date = register entry, not decision — check stageNote for the real dates))
2026-07-04 — Development site — listing's own words: "Development site" (1 Llanfoyst Street, Randwick, NSW 2031) (listing rea-150518040 (rea), first seen 2026-07-04)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Rainbow St PS (primary) · Randwick HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1112 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Randwick — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.