The listing we observed
3 bedrooms · NewApartments
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Willoughby Grounds · last observed 26 Oct 2026← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed — $2,295,000
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Apartment (new)
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
44 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-10-23Planning activity nearby
2 recorded applications at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the areaWhat deserves a closer look
- asking $2.29M
- first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
- What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
- Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.74M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.74M–$2.3M
around $2M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.3M
$2.78M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 44 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±14% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-10-23
- Inputs used for this home: no per-address records were available; this uses location and configuration only
- Comparable support: 44 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 1 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/1-5 Penkivil St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.85M | Apr 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 17 — below sydney average · 25 min walk to Artarmon · ~12 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-10-23 — trained on 172,805 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Willoughby — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 19 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 19 Aug 2026 asking $2.29M
- 27 Oct 2026 on market 69+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
- 2 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
- Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
- Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Days on market — this campaign
69 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Willoughby · postcode 2068
$1006–$1725/wk is what 3-bed units in 2068 actually transact for (middle half of 10 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1425/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $560 → $835/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2068, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Willoughby units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q1 $1320k (6) · 2024Q2 $900k (5) · 2024Q4 $975k (4) · 2025Q2 $935k (4)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Willoughby, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Hollywood Crescent | 12 Aug 2025 | $2,600,000 | — | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
$2,295,000
C105/5 Walter Street
Willoughby
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$2,300,000
902/38C Albert Avenue
Chatswood · 1.6 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$2,300,000
C202/23 Holdsworth Avenue
St Leonards · 2.4 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$2,190,000
55/14 Brown Street
Chatswood · 1.6 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$2,400,000
101/19 Oscar Street
Chatswood · 1.6 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$2,165,000
A204/24 Berry Road
St Leonards · 2.4 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Willoughby or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Planning & zoning — R4 High Density Residential
Apartments. Expect towers and ongoing development around you.
Zone R4 (High Density Residential) under the WILLOUGHBY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~35 m · 1 Walter Street Willoughby 2068 | Residential Flat Building, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure · 1 new dwelling | Withdrawn | not on record | $49k | 2026-06-17 |
| ~106 m · 462 Willoughby Road Willoughby 2068 | Residential Flat Building, Erection Of A New Structure · 19 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $10.52M | 2023-09-27 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Willoughby — recent local signals
2026-10-15 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (50 Salisbury Road, Willoughby, NSW 2068) (listing rea-152639772 (rea), first seen 2026-10-15)
2026-10-08 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (44 Cobar Street, Willoughby, NSW 2068) (listing rea-152577576 (rea), first seen 2026-10-08)
2026-09-27 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (123 Mowbray Road, Willoughby, NSW 2068) (listing rea-152372000 (rea), first seen 2026-09-27)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Willoughby PS (primary) · Chatswood HS (secondary)
4 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1154 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.