Sold — $1,660,000 (Sold, 25 July 2026)
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Townhouse · 271 m² land
Confirmed against published auction results.
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 16 comparable auction sales · model runs ±12% for this configuration · adjusted for this block's land size · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Suburb risk flags
flood exposure 38% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Development potential — how Council of the City of Sydney treats the work you might do
Refuses 2.61% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 3.08% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2026 | Sold | $1,660,000 | The Agency |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Alexandria, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/1a Mandible Street | 14 Aug 2025 | $682,000 | — | Harris Partners |
| 18/101 Belmont Street | 6 Dec 2022 | $1,800,000 | 4 | Harris Partners |
| 31/30-44 Garden Street | 21 Jan 2022 | $1,200,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 2 listings above are on the market now: same townhouse category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Alexandria or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Planning & zoning — MU1 Mixed Use
Shops/offices below, apartments above. Walkable and lively, but denser and busier.
Height limit 22m (≈ 7 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 2.5:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 2.5:1 times the site area. On this 271 m² block that's up to ~678 m² of floor space (a guide — clause exceptions, setbacks and height limits also apply).
Strata plan SP71215 — A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone MU1 (Mixed Use) under the SYDNEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Council of the City of Sydney has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 1.93% (1.34–2.78%) | 0.7× (NSW 2.63%) | 28 refused of 1,450 · 13 approved with conditions |
| Off-street parking | 3.08% (0.85–10.54%) | 1.2× (NSW 2.58%) | 2 refused of 65 · 1 approved with conditions |
| Pool, deck or fence | 3.41% (1.57–7.24%) | 2× (NSW 1.73%) | 6 refused of 176 |
| Granny flat | 3.13% (0.55–15.74%) | 0.7× (NSW 4.45%) | 1 refused of 32 · 1 approved with conditions |
| Knock down & rebuild | 5.63% (2.88–10.72%) | 0.5× (NSW 11.55%) | 8 refused of 142 · 4 approved with conditions |
Across all application types Council of the City of Sydney refused 2.61% (2.08–3.26%) of the 2,839 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~26 m · 10m 147-161 Mcevoy Street Alexandria 2015 | Residential Flat Building, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure | Additional Information Requested | not on record | $124k | 2026-07-31 |
| ~112 m · 124 Mcevoy Street Alexandria 2015 | Restaurant Or Cafe, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure | Under Assessment | not on record | $69k | 2026-07-22 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
What's changing in Alexandria — recent local signals
2026-07-03 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (107-109 Wyndham Street, Alexandria, NSW 2015) (listing rea-151527152 (rea), first seen 2026-07-03)
2025-12-19 — Health invest — 4/624 Botany Rd Alexandria NSW 2015 ($100k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-598310, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Alexandria Park CS (primary) · Alexandria Park CS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1069 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 500 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 2000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.