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Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
247 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-10-23
The strata scheme
SP65073 · 40 lots
Scheme size provides context. It does not tell us the current levies, finances or condition of the building.
NSW strata register · registered 2001
Planning activity nearby
6 recorded applications at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the area
What deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$700k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$700k–$870k
around $776k mid
STRETCH CAP
$870k
$990k on the wider 80% band
Confidence: High — based on 247 comparable auction sales (44 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · priced from this property's own records: building age, land value · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-10-23
Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: building age, land value
Comparable support: 247 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 44 of this exact configuration
When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
Address
Config
Sold
When
7/125 Euston Rd
1 bd · 1 ba
$707k
July 2025
L6/274 Botany Rd
1 bd · 1 ba
$640k
June 2025
1/20-34 Wyndham St
1 bd · 1 ba
$647k
June 2025
W406/222 Wyndham St
1 bd · 1 ba
$951k
May 2025
Suburb risk flags
flood exposure 38% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-10-23 — trained on 172,805 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
Comps: published Domain auction results for Alexandria — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
The strata scheme: registration is recorded in 2001 and has 40 lots; ask for the strata report, planned works and levies.
6 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Alexandria · postcode 2015
$726–$800/wk is what 1-bed units in 2015 actually transact for (middle half of 98 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $750/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $600 → $805/wk · +1% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2015, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
Auction week
Result
Price
Agency
7 Mar 2026
Sold prior
$728,000
—
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Alexandria, around 1 beds
Address
Sold
Price
Beds
Agency
23/30-44 Garden Street
8 Oct 2026
$1,120,000
2
Harris Partners
1/1a Mandible Street
14 Aug 2025
$682,000
—
Harris Partners
31/30-44 Garden Street
21 Jan 2022
$1,200,000
2
Harris Partners
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Planning & zoning — MU1 Mixed Use
Shops/offices below, apartments above. Walkable and lively, but denser and busier.
Height limit 29m (≈ 9 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 2:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 2:1 times the site area.
Strata plan SP65073— A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone MU1 (Mixed Use) under the SYDNEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
Where
Proposal
Status
Outcome
Est. cost
Lodged
~78 m · 1-3 Mandible Street Alexandria 2015
Office Premise, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure
Determined
not on record
$961k
2025-06-30
~78 m · 1-3 Mandible Street Alexandria 2015
Commercial Development, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure
Withdrawn
not on record
$850k
2026-06-25
~116 m · 290-294 Botany Road Alexandria 2015
Commercial Development, Change Of Use Of Land Or A Building Or The Classification Of A Building Under The Building Code Of Australia, Retail Premise
Determined
not on record
$19k
2025-10-03
~116 m · 290-294 Botany Road Alexandria 2015
Entertainment Facility, Recreation/Tourist Premise, Hours Of Operation And Trading
Cancelled
not on record
—
—
~116 m · 290-294 Botany Road Alexandria 2015
Demolition, Commercial Development, Erection Of A New Structure
Deferred Commencement
not on record
$46.9M
2024-09-04
~116 m · 290-294 Botany Road Alexandria 2015
Demolition, Erection Of A New Structure, Retail Premise · 232 new dwellings
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP65073 registered 2001 — the building is at least 25 years old · 40 lots in the scheme.
What's changing in Alexandria — recent local signals
2026-10-21 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (59 Suttor Street, Alexandria, NSW 2015) (listing rea-152702876 (rea), first seen 2026-10-21)
2026-10-06 — Sold in one line — listing's own words: "in one line" (20 Copeland St, Alexandria, NSW 2015) (listing rea-152545328 (rea), first seen 2026-10-06)
2026-08-26 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (14 Dibbs Street, Alexandria, NSW 2015) (listing rea-152146384 (rea), first seen 2026-08-26)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Alexandria Park CS (primary) · Alexandria Park CS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1069 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 500 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 2000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.