Carlton · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Carlton — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 58 Carlton buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Recent sold auction results in Carlton from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Carlton actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 139 settled sales · median $860,000 (middle half $761,900–$1,440,000)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Carlton homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2218

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $468 → $700/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2218, all dwellings pooled · +2% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 22 — below the Sydney average (50 = average) · band low

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2218) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

5 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.7km · 2 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1061

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Carlton SPS · Bayside HS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Carlton

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

30 Mcpherson St · 41 Cronulla St · 9/19-21 Andover St · 27 Prince Edward St · 56 Willison Rd · 131 Willison Rd

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Carlton, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 280 - 298 Railway Parade, Carlton — Shop top housing development with ground level commercial/ retail space and residential above for 120 dwelling. 10% affordable housing, for a period of 15 years, to be managed by a CHP.
  Think Planners · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 1A Willison Road, Carlton — Shop - top housing within a 22 - storey residential tower, to include 180 residential apartments, with 15% affordable housing for 15 years.
  Lucerne Property Group Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

Major applications in the DA channel

Plus 16 smaller applications (renovations, single dwellings, signage) — 10 determined, 3 approved, 1 lodged, 2 withdrawn.

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.