Eastlakes · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Eastlakes — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 35 Eastlakes buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Recent sold auction results in Eastlakes from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 108 settled sales · median $810,000 (middle half $731,875–$2,050,000)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 45 — around the Sydney average (50 = average) · band average

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2018) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

34 dwellings approved in Eastlakes between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (92 applications).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 2,591 (2016) to 2,789 (2021) — +198 delivered in that window, -88 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

Anchor-tenant signals — where the big tenants put capital

Eastlakes Shopping Centre (old site) (redevelopment-in-progress): curated pattern case — The landlord built the replacement Metro-format supermarket next door (Stage 1, completed ~2020) BEFORE demolishing the 1964 centre (Jul 2025) — the founding anchor-relocation pattern. Curated: the Stage-2 SSD's public description says only 'commercial podium'; no keyword net can see this from records alone.

An anchor tenant building new premises near an existing centre is capital commitment — in the Eastlakes case it preceded demolition of the old site by years. At-centre works read the opposite way: investment in place. Detections are keyword matches over public planning records ("nearby" never claims common ownership); curated entries say so.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

19A Evans Ave, Eastlakes, 2018 · 0.6km away
Responding to public submissions · SSD-90572458

68-80 Banks Avenue, Pagewood · 1.4km away
Under assessment · SSD-83256472

138 dwellings · 17 - 23 Harbourne Road, Kingsford · 1.6km away · ABC Planning Pty Ltd
Declared State Significant — on the fast-track · HDA record, 2026-06-23

266 dwellings · 1-3 Rosebery Avenue, Rosebery · 1.9km away · Ford Land Company Pty Ltd
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-87119707

39 Barker St, Kensington · 1.9km away
Under assessment · SSD-84220206

550 dwellings · 33 - 35 Morley Avenue, Rosebery · 1.9km away · Knight Frank Town Planning Sydney
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-23

+ 4 more within 2.5km — see the full fast-track list.

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 1,990 dwellings across 10 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

5 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.32km · 4 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1067

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Eastlakes PS · J J Cahill MHS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Eastlakes

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

2 Mascot Dr · 12/27 Mascot Dr · 1 Casino St · 98 Maloney St

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Eastlakes, and how far along it is

Plus 22 smaller applications (renovations, single dwellings, signage) — 7 approved, 3 lodged, 9 determined, 2 withdrawn, 1 refused.

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.

Housing and jobs targets — BAYSIDE LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, BAYSIDE has a five-year housing target of 10,100 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 21,000–29,000 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026