Lane Cove · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Lane Cove — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 84 Lane Cove buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Townhouses

Recent sold auction results in Lane Cove from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Lane Cove actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 265 settled sales · median $1,050,000 (middle half $873,000–$1,915,000)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 23 — below the Sydney average (50 = average) · band low

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2066) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

🚩 Yield vs growth — who pays here, and does it convert?

Rent trap risk — cash flows, capital has sat still. Gross yield 4.5% (bond-median rent $750/wk against a measured unit sale median of $871k) · measured growth -1.6%/yr — against metro medians of 4.1% and 1.7%/yr across 39 tracked suburbs.

Yield is above the metro median but measured growth is below it. Ask WHO pays that rent: if the tenant base structurally can't convert to buyers, the yield never becomes growth.

Rent trajectory (new-tenancy bond medians, postcode 2066): +5.6%/yr over the last 3 years · +4.7%/yr since 2019 — a level is not a trend; both are shown so neither is implied.

Working: rent = NSW rental bond lodgements, flats, postcode level; growth = all-unit quarterly-median OLS — mix-sensitive, read as indicative over 16 quarters. Relative labels — "high" means above the metro median in this window, nothing more. Drivers are places and distances, never who lives here.

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

487 dwellings approved in Lane Cove between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (359 applications). Largest: 140dw 1 Garthowen Avenue Lane Cove 2066 (2021) · 61dw 1 Gatacre Avenue Lane Cove 2066 (2021).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 4,268 (2016) to 5,422 (2021) — +1,154 delivered in that window, +621 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

State-fiat planning programs — controls moved by state decision (RULE-002)

Low and Mid-Rise Housing reform — Lane Cove town centre · controls from 2025-02-28 · source

A state-fiat listing changes what can be BUILT here — planning controls, height, density — by government decision, with no demand-demonstration step. It is a zoning signal, not a price signal: our own backtests found listed and unlisted suburbs moving together, so we don't claim price uplift from a listing. What it reliably means: development capacity changed on the date shown, checkable at the source.

Institutional moves — arrivals & departures, 12-month DA window

When an organisation with real money commits to a location — or abandons one — they've done homework you can't see. The market moves around that decision; the building is the visible end of it.

departure Place of worship — 2-8 Finlayson Street Lane Cove 2066 · $88.0M works · 4 applications
Demolition · Residential flat building · Place of public worship · Erection of a new structure · Community facility · Determined · determined 2026-01-30 · PAN-591198

A DA is intent, not an opening — and a demolition DA is not always a closure (rebuilds happen). Classification is over the Planning Portal's own structured development types; every record above is checkable by its PAN number. Departures are deliberately listed first: almost nobody watches them. Supermarket-class moves live in the anchor-tenant section, not here. Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

120 dwellings · 21 - 25 Austin Street, Lane Cove · 0.3km away · Ingham Planning
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-05-27

216 dwellings · 407 Pacific Highway, Artarmon · 0.6km away · Jadan Property Group
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-22

150 dwellings · 472 Pacific Highway, Lane Cove North · 1km away · Urbis Ltd
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-129910240

691-699 Pacific Highway, Chatswood, Nsw, 2067 · 1.3km away
Determination — decision imminent · SSD-77127711

300 Burns Bay Road, Lane Cove · 1.8km away
Responding to public submissions · SSD-100293708

828 dwellings · 166 Epping Road, Lane Cove West · 2.2km away · Morehuman Property Group Pty Ltd
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-111197488

+ 4 more within 2.5km — see the full fast-track list.

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 1,617 dwellings across 10 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

Supply concentration: one applicant (Morehuman Property Group Pty Ltd) is behind the entire known nearby pipeline (828 dwellings, 51% of the known pipeline). Concentrated supply cuts both ways: delivery is likelier, but future sales and rentals compete with the same pipeline's next release — a cap the growth numbers won't show. Applicants can be planning consultants acting for a developer.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

5 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.23km · 6 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1147

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Lane Cove PS · Hunters Hill HS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Lane Cove

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

2/434-436 Mowbray Rd · 1A Matthews Av · 7/520 Mowbray Rd · 201/640 Mowbray Rd W · 18/47 Walkers Dr · 23 Fox St · 2/111-113 Burns Bay Rd · 29/26-30 Huxtable Av · 307/5 Mindarie St · 2104/280-288 Burns Bay Rd · 307/544-550 Mowbray Rd · 101/25 Best St · 83 Austin St · 203/17-21 Finlayson St · 9/2-4 Pinaroo Pl · 5/5 Murray St · 9B Grace St · 29 Kinsellas Dr · 6/33 Kinsellas Dr · 13/58 Epping Rd · 16/500 Mowbray Rd · 60/300A Burns Bay Rd · 22/299 Burns Bay Rd · 15/38 Centennial Av · 2 Myee Cr · 16/83-85 Burns Bay Rd · 602/14 Finlayson St · 3/278 Burns Bay Rd · 2/15 Longueville Rd · G01/8 Birdwood Av

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Lane Cove, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 92 - 94, 96 Burns Bay Road, Lane Cove — 142 dwellings within 15 storey residential flat building(s), including seniors housing and ground floor communal spaces and retail uses. The proposal includes an affordable housing offer of 5% for a period of 15 years.
  Vasey Housing Association NSW · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 21 - 25 Austin Street, Lane Cove — 20 dwellings across 2 x 15 storey towers including 15% affordable housing for 15 years
  Ingham Planning · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

Major applications in the DA channel

Plus 85 smaller applications (renovations, single dwellings, signage) — 29 determined, 35 approved, 11 withdrawn, 7 lodged, 2 cancelled, 1 rejected.

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.

Housing and jobs targets — LANE COVE LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, LANE COVE has a five-year housing target of 3,400 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 2,700–6,000 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

State rezoning pipeline — Lane Cove LGA

The Sydney Plan lists one state significant rezoning site in this LGA — land the NSW Government is rezoning (or has rezoned) for additional homes and jobs, alongside council-led supply. Dwelling and jobs figures are preliminary estimates provided by proponents or councils.

• Crows Nest TOD Accelerated Precinct (Lane Cove, North Sydney, Willougby) — ~5,900 dwellings, ~2,500 jobs · rezoning completed Nov 2024

These are LGA-level sites, not a statement about any individual property; the Plan does not publish site boundaries or coordinates in this appendix. Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix F — State-led or assessed rezonings (published 13 August 2026, updated every 6 months), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026