1/17 Bass Road · Earlwood NSW 2206

Earlwood suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Earlwood suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed

4 bed · 2 bath · 3 car · Townhouse · 237 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.47M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.47M–$2.15M
around $1.79M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.15M
$2.71M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 15 comparable auction sales · model runs ±19% for this configuration · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 17 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 18 Aug 2026 asking $1.82M
  • 30 Aug 2026 on market 12+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 17 min walk to Canterbury Metro · ~18 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

12 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Earlwood · postcode 2206

$685/week median new-tenancy rent for units in 2206 (2026Q2, 32 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $480 → $685/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2206, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Earlwood units at auction

Not enough Earlwood unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Earlwood, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
9a David Street25 Aug 2026$1,376,0005Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.