1/33 Arthur Street · Fairlight NSW 2094

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Currently listed — $3,500,000

3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$3.26M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$3.26M–$4.4M
around $3.84M mid
STRETCH CAP
$4.4M
$4.8M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 29 comparable auction sales (8 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 19 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 31 Aug 2026 asking $3.5M
  • 1 Sept 2026 on market 12+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
9a Crescent St3 bd · 2 ba$2.75MMay 2025
1 Jamieson Av3 bd · 2 ba$3.4MFeb 2025
6 Northcote Av3 bd · 1 ba$2.81MNov 2024
216 Sydney Rd3 bd · 1 ba$2.36MOct 2024
8 Edwin St3 bd · 1 ba$3.5MJuly 2024
3 Arthur St3 bd · 2 ba$4.85MMay 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 15 — below sydney average · 20 min walk to Manly Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Fairlight — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

12 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Fairlight · postcode 2094

$1280–$1875/wk is what 3-bed units in 2094 actually transact for (middle half of 43 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1500/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $700 → $892/wk · +3% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2094, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Fairlight units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q1 $1690k (3) · 2024Q3 $1905k (6) · 2024Q4 $1558k (10) · 2025Q2 $1555k (7)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Fairlight, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
13 Griffiths Street13 Aug 2026$3,205,0003Cunninghams
2/14 Austin Street20 June 2026$1,725,0002Cunninghams
5/44 Lauderdale Avenue19 June 2026$2,350,0002Cunninghams
6/31 La Perouse Street14 Apr 2026$1,330,0002Cunninghams
7/33 Fairlight Crescent28 Feb 2026$1,785,0002Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Fairlight or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
14 Dec 2021 $3,350,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.