104/8 Mccarthy La · Annandale NSW 2038

Annandale suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Annandale suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $1,200,000 ▼ Reduced 7.7% · $100k · 5 days ago

2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

Asking price cut 7.7% ($100k, from $1,300,000 to $1,200,000) 5 days ago. The vendor has already moved once: negotiate below the NEW asking, not at it.

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.13M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.13M–$1.4M
around $1.26M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.4M
$1.48M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 38 comparable auction sales (6 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 21 July 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 15 Aug 2026 auction: Withdrawn (Laing+Simmons St George)
  • 19 Aug 2026 asking $1.3M
  • 25 Aug 2026 price cut $100k — to $1.2M
  • 30 Aug 2026 on market 40 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
1/170 Nelson St2 bd · 1 ba$755kMar 2025
72/268 Johnston St2 bd · 1 ba$1.03MFeb 2025
5/34 Taylor St2 bd · 2 ba$1.3MNov 2024
26/29-31 Johnston St2 bd · 1 ba$775kOct 2024
11/48 Nelson St2 bd · 1 ba$1.03MSept 2024

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 45 — around sydney average · 18 min walk to Lilyfield Light Rail · ~22 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 6 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Annandale — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

40 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Annandale · postcode 2038

$748–$900/wk is what 2-bed units in 2038 actually transact for (middle half of 16 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $805/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $430 → $650/wk · +13% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2038, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Annandale units at auction

Not enough Annandale unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
15 Aug 2026WithdrawnwithheldLaing+Simmons St George

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Annandale, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
21 Piper Street3 Dec 2025$2,695,0003Harris Partners
406 Young Street31 Oct 2025$2,675,0003Harris Partners
15 Rose Street15 Aug 2024$1,980,0002Harris Partners
130 Young Street23 July 2024$2,240,0003Harris Partners
67 Ferris Street27 July 2023$1,375,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Annandale or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,535 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
23 Nov 2021 $1,295,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.