The listing we observed
5 bedrooms · House
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Place Newmarket · last observed 26 Sept 2026
← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed — $2,600,000
5 bed · 4 bath · 2 car · House · 458 m² land
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
32 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through an unavailable cutoffWhat deserves a closer look
- asking $2.6M
- first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$2.19M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.19M–$2.78M
around $2.48M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.78M
$2.94M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 32 comparable auction sales (6 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · the model's typical miss is ~12% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: Comparable-sales grid · version 2026-08-11-v5
- Inputs used for this home: no per-address records were available; this uses location and configuration only
- Comparable support: 32 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 6 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Verdun St | 5 bd · 2 ba | $2.62M | Nov 2025 |
| 2 Welbeck St | 5 bd · 2 ba | $2.15M | July 2025 |
| 41 Edith St | 5 bd · 3 ba | $2.25M | Apr 2025 |
| 28 Braeside Tce | 5 bd · 3 ba | $3.58M | Nov 2024 |
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: Comparable-sales grid 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Alderley — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
What changed recently?
- 27 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 26 Sept 2026 asking $2.6M
- 27 Sept 2026 on market 30+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
30 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
458 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Similar properties — on the market now
$2,700,000
123 Swan Street
Gordon Park · 2.7 km away
5 bed · 3 bath · 2 car
$2,750,000
53 Gilbert Road
Windsor · 3.0 km away
5 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$2,300,000
19 Alderley Avenue
Alderley
4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$3,000,000
70 Angliss Street
Wilston · 2.0 km away
5 bed · 4 bath · 4 car
$2,200,000
49 Cumberland Street
Windsor · 3.0 km away
5 bed · 3 bath · 2 car
The 5 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 5, asking within 20% of this one, in Alderley or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
What's changing in Alderley — recent local signals
2026-09-19 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (404 Enoggera Road, Alderley, Qld 4051) (listing rea-152242520 (rea), first seen 2026-09-19)
2026-08-27 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (25 Gardiner Street, Alderley, Qld 4051) (listing rea-151423160 (rea), first seen 2026-08-27)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.