1106/3 Haran St · Mascot NSW 2020

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Currently listed ▲ Raised 4.2% · $50k · 7 days ago

3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

Asking price RAISED 4.2% ($50k, from $1,200,000 to $1,250,000) 7 days ago. A demand signal at this address: expect competition.

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.22M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.22M–$1.52M
around $1.37M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.52M
$1.67M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 59 comparable auction sales (8 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 27 June 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 1 July 2026 asking $1.2M
  • 1 Aug 2026 auction: Passed in (Ray White Waterloo)
  • 20 Aug 2026 price raised $50k — to $1.25M
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 60 days — portal listing date

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 49% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise high · crime index: 59 — around sydney average · 9 min walk to Mascot · ~10 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

60 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Local rents — postcode 2020 units, new tenancies

$1050/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2020 (2026Q2, 405 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 3-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Mascot units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q3 $839k (4) · 2024Q4 $1170k (5) · 2025Q1 $754k (4) · 2025Q2 $748k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
1 Aug 2026Passed inwithheldRay White Waterloo

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Mascot, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
414/42 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$1,390,0003Meriton
453/63 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$900,0002Meriton
401/12 Galloway Streetby 17 Aug 2026$1,375,0003Meriton
629/44 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$955,0002Meriton

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.