Mascot · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 169,861 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Mascot — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 63 Mascot buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Recent sold auction results in Mascot from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Mascot actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 471 settled sales · median $945,500 (middle half $786,000–$1,200,000)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Mascot homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2020

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $740 → $1015/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2020, all dwellings pooled · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 59 — around the Sydney average (50 = average) · band average

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2020) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

2,294 dwellings approved in Mascot between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (473 applications). Largest: 435dw 6-8 John St, Mascot (2021) · 301dw 56 Baxter Road Mascot 2020 (2021).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 5,210 (2016) to 9,146 (2021) — +3,936 delivered in that window, +2,870 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

146 dwellings · 444-450 Gardeners Road, Alexandria, Nsw, 2015 · 0.7km away · Centuria Capital Limited
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-117337491

220 dwellings · 205 O'Riordan Street, Mascot · 0.7km away · Iris Hotels Sydney Airport Property Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2025-10-27

550 dwellings · 33 - 35 Morley Avenue, Rosebery · 1.3km away · Knight Frank Town Planning Sydney
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-23

23 - 29 Mentmore Avenue, Rosebery · 1.4km away · Twicorp P/L c/o of Keylan Consulting
Declared State Significant — on the fast-track · HDA record, 2026-09-15

19A Evans Ave, Eastlakes, 2018 · 1.8km away
Responding to public submissions · SSD-90572458

266 dwellings · 1-3 Rosebery Avenue, Rosebery · 1.9km away · Ford Land Company Pty Ltd
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-87119707

+ 3 more within 2.5km — see the full fast-track list.

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 1,570 dwellings across 9 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

2 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~1.17km · 3 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1052

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-10-10 — 46.4% of 483 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-10-10 — 37% of 669 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Mascot

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

9a Linden St · 34 Ney St · 44 Robey St · 61 Robey St · 505/149-161 O'riordan St · 119B King St · 1 Malcolm St · 87A Maloney St · 15B Brussels St · 22 Hardie St · 27 Horner Av

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Mascot, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 205 O'Riordan Street, Mascot — 220 apartments including 5% affordable housing, unspecified amount of ground floor commercial floor area, existing hotel use to remain
  Iris Hotels Sydney Airport Property Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.

Housing and jobs targets — BAYSIDE LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, BAYSIDE has a five-year housing target of 10,100 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 21,000–29,000 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026