









Currently listed — $850,000
2 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
What we've tracked
- 1 July 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 1 July 2026 asking $850k
- 24 Aug 2026 relisted after 54 days off market
- 27 Aug 2026 on market 56+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2/113 Sutherland St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $700k | May 2025 |
| 121/12 Church Av | 2 bd · 2 ba | $980k | Apr 2025 |
| 5/24-28 John St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $780k | Apr 2025 |
| 1102C/1 Muller La | 2 bd · 2 ba | $828k | Mar 2025 |
| 4/17 John St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $901k | Feb 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
flood exposure 49% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise high · crime index: 59 — around sydney average · 9 min walk to Mascot · ~10 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Mascot — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
56 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Local rents — postcode 2020 units, new tenancies
$1050/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2020 (2026Q2, 405 bonds lodged).
The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 2-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Mascot units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q3 $839k (4) · 2024Q4 $1170k (5) · 2025Q1 $754k (4) · 2025Q2 $748k (4)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Mascot, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162/3-9 Church Avenue | by 17 Aug 2026 | $735,000 | 1 | Meriton |
| 515/10 Galloway Street | by 17 Aug 2026 | $770,000 | 1 | Meriton |
| 320/8 Galloway Street | by 17 Aug 2026 | $760,000 | 1 | Meriton |
| 414/42 Church Avenue | by 17 Aug 2026 | $1,390,000 | 3 | Meriton |
| 453/63 Church Avenue | by 17 Aug 2026 | $900,000 | 2 | Meriton |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Mascot or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | $840,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — E1 Local Centre
A retail/commercial hub — shops and services at your door, but busier and noisier.
Height limit 44m (≈ 14 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 3.2:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 3.2:1 times the site area.
Strata plan SP107704 · scheme parcel ~930 m² — A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone E1 (Local Centre) under the BAYSIDE LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~76 m · Shop 1, 27-256 Coward St Mascot | Restaurant Or Cafe | Withdrawn | not on record | $80k | 2020-11-23 |
| ~106 m · 253 Coward Street Mascot 2020 | Erection Of A New Structure, Self Storage Units | Determined | not on record | $54.67M | 2025-12-24 |
| ~139 m · 2 Chalmers Crescent Mascot 2020 | Hotel Or Motel Accommodation, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure | Determined | not on record | $19.7M | 2024-06-27 |
| ~150 m · 6 Chalmers Crescent Mascot 2020 | Change Of Use Of Land Or A Building Or The Classification Of A Building Under The Building Code Of Australia, Vehicle Repair Station | Determined | not on record | $10k | 2025-08-07 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Mascot — recent local signals
2026-08-24 — Place of worship invest — 38 RICKETTY STREET MASCOT 2020 ($330k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-665566, OnlineDA))
2026-08-18 — Place of worship invest — 768 BOTANY ROAD MASCOT 2020 ($578k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-663802, OnlineDA))
2026-07-03 — DA-approved site — listing's own words: "DA-approved" (51 Hardie Street, Mascot, NSW 2020) (listing rea-151093680 (rea), first seen 2026-07-03)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Mascot PS (primary) · J J Cahill MHS (secondary)
2 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1052 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.