The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 102 comparable auction sales (10 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Campsie St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.7M | July 2025 |
| 83 Charlotte St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.7M | June 2025 |
| 19 Scahill St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $2.29M | June 2025 |
| 43 Amy St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.6M | May 2025 |
| 30 Cross St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.91M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 36 — below sydney average · 2 min walk to Campsie Metro · ~20 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 3 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Campsie — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Campsie · postcode 2194
$780–$895/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2194 actually transact for (middle half of 54 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $850/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $600 → $850/wk · +16% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2194, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2026 | Sold prior | $1,340,000 | Ray White Rozelle |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Campsie, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/80 Beamish Street | by 26 Aug 2026 | $736,000 | 2 | Laing+Simmons |
| 205/363 Beamish Street | by 16 Aug 2026 | $759,000 | 2 | Laing+Simmons |
| 6/67c Second Avenue | by 16 Aug 2026 | $915,000 | 2 | Laing+Simmons |
| 4/518 Canterbury Road | by 16 Aug 2026 | $650,000 | 2 | Laing+Simmons |
| 112 Ninth Avenue | by 16 Aug 2026 | $1,360,000 | 3 | Laing+Simmons |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
What's changing in Campsie — recent local signals
2026-03-27 — Childcare invest — 46 CAMPSIE STREET CAMPSIE 2194 ($132k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-625764, OnlineDA))
2025-08-06 — Childcare new — 46 CAMPSIE STREET CAMPSIE 2194 ($132k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-557742, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Campsie PS (primary) · Kingsgrove NHS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1027 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Campsie — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.